This article was originally published
in Postnoon on December 28, 2012. Co-author: Purvee Hetamsaria
http://postnoon.com/2012/12/28/rbi-keeps-us-guessing/98181
Prof. Nicky was
strolling in the park when she heard a familiar voice calling out her name. She
turned around to face a gasping Mr. Mukherjee. The face had a question mark.
Prof: Hello Mr. Mukherjee.
What's troubling you?
Mukherjee
(trying to regain his breath): You got me! I was wondering if the Reserve Bank
of India (RBI) will lower the interest rates in their upcoming policy review.
The general view is that there is a strong possibility of a 75 basis points cut
next year. With 50 bps being cut during the last quarter of the current fiscal
year.
Prof. Nicky: Well.
I cannot predict what RBI is going to do. But yes, it might be welcome by many
sections of the industries and the common man.
Mukherjee: That
is what I am not able to understand. How does it help the common man? Why
should he worry about the matters of monetary policy? I am personally
indifferent to it.
Nicky: So you
feel! But it's not true. Remember the time when you took a loan to buy that car
of yours and you were complaining to me about the high interest rates?
Mukherjee: Yes.
But what does that have to do with RBI and rate cuts?
Nicky: How do
banks determine at what rate to lend? How are auto loan, home loan, personal
loan, etc, their interest rates determined? It depends on the interest rates
set by the RBI. The rate at which banks can borrow funds from the RBI is known
as the Repo rate. When the repo rate goes down, banks get
funds at a lower rate, which they can pass on to their customers in the form of
cheaper loans.
Mukherjee:
Hmmm...but since I have already taken the loan, it's not going to help me.
Nicky: Its not
going to help you if your loan has a fixed interest rate. If the loan has a
floating interest rate, that is, it changes with the changes in the Prime
Lending Rate (PLR), then your Equated Monthly Instalments (EMIs) will come
down.
Mukherjee: PLR?
Nicky: It's the
rate at which banks lend to their most credit worthy customers. So for most of
us, after taking our credit worthiness into account, the banks decide on an x
percent to be added to the PLR, to determine the interest rate. For those who
have floating rate loans, the banks generally quote the interest rate as PLR
plus x percent. So when PLR comes down, EMI also comes down.
Mukherjee: Got
it. But what about my deposits? Will the banks continue to pay me the same
interest rates on them?
Nicky: For your
existing Fixed Deposits, the answer is yes. For new fixed deposits, the banks
may reduce the rates.
Mukherjee:
Understood. Thank you.