Showing posts with label Insurance. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Insurance. Show all posts

Wednesday, June 13, 2018

Is India’s QIP Destroying Investor Wealth?


This article was first published in the Global Association of Risk Professionals on June 01, 2018. Co-authors: Nikhil Rastogi, Chakrapani Chaturvedula
Analysis indicates that an institutional share-issuance program is associated with lower shareholder returns.
Imagine you are an investor in one of India’s listed companies whose share price is Rs.100. You come across an announcement that the company is offering some shares to institutional investors at a price of Rs.95. You wonder why, but then you just let it go. 

As you track the stock price over the next few months, it falls below Rs.100 and even below Rs.95 – even as the broad market is trading at higher levels than at the time or the institutional offering. Maybe the company’s performance was bad, you wonder. But you also observe many such examples of companies trading below their offering price.
Welcome to the world of Qualified Institutional Placement (QIP).
QIP is one of the methods of raising equity by listed companies, with follow-on offer, rights and preferential allotment being the other methods. Under QIP, started in 2006 by the Securities and Exchange Board of India (SEBI) as a faster and cost-effective way to raise capital, shares are issued to a select group of Qualified Institutional Buyers (QIBs) – usually mutual funds, insurance companies, etc. – at not less than the average of the last two weeks’ high and low price (also known as floor price). A further discount of 5% on the floor price was allowed by SEBI in later years.
We reviewed the return performance of 84 QIPs from 2010 to 2016, in terms of average holding period returns for 3 months, 6 months and 1 year post the issue of QIP. Thus, we broadly analyzed whether on average investors made or lost money on QIP investments.
As depicted in the bar chart, average short-term holding period returns (3 and 6 month) are negative for all years. Excepting 2013, 1-year average returns across all years are negative or very marginally positive.

Index Comparison

 QIP finance

Since the returns could be impacted by general direction of the market in a specific year, we also computed comparable, average holding period returns of the S&P BSE 500 index. For each year, we use S&P BSE 500 index price at the same time that a QIP was issued, and then use the index level 3 months, 6 months and 1 year hence to compute the returns. These are then averaged to arrive at returns for a particular period (3-month, 6-month and 1-year).
As depicted in the bar plot, 3- and 6-month returns are positive for most of the years. Except for 2015, the 1-year returns are positive for all years between 2010 and 2016.
This in essence means that QIPs have not been such a good investment for QIBs as compared to returns on an unmanaged index such as S&P BSE 500.
Now, here we are not measuring the performance of lay investors. These are expert investors getting paid to make investment decisions, and on an average they are losing money for all holding periods from 3 months to 1 year, both absolutely and relatively (compared to S&P BSE 500).
Double Whammy
Another point to note is that many of these QIPs have been issued at a discount of around 5% to the trading price (average two weekly high and low price before the QIP offer). From the perspective of long-term, non-QIB investors this comes as a double whammy. First of all, non-QIB investors are not offered shares at discounted prices; and to add insult to injury, the stocks trade below this price for the next year.
The analysis until now shows that, prima facie, both QIB and non-QIB investors are losing money for average holding periods of 3 months, 6 months and 1 year. But could it really be true for QIB investors? As per the QIP regulation, the issued shares have no lock-in period; that is, they can be sold by QIBs at any point after the issue is made.

 This is as opposed to the regulation in a preferential offer (another method of raising equity by listed companies), where there is a minimum lock-in period of 1 year – the shares cannot be sold before one year. So technically, making use of this regulation, smarter QIBs might be selling the shares so issued, thus driving down the prices of stocks.
We do not have access to detailed data of holdings of respective QIBs across different dates, and we cannot infer if QIBs are moving out of the stocks after subscribing to them. However, the results are consistent with the view that on an average QIP, shares are witnessing downward pressure on account of selling, which is leading to negative holding period returns.

This selling pressure is more likely to come from experts (QIBs) rather than others. The source of selling may be a mystery, but to retail investors, the broad message is clear: QIP could be synonymous with dip.

Tuesday, April 17, 2018

India’s Regulatory Dodgeball with Bitcoin


Government warnings have hardly restrained one of the world’s most active cryptocurrency markets.

This article was first published in the Global Association of Risk Professionals on April 13, 2018. Co-author: Anisha Sircar


One in every 10 bitcoin transactions in the world takes place in India, according to cryptocurrency payment company Pundi X. https://pundix.com/  Indian trading in bitcoin grew substantially in 2017, with over 2,500 people trading daily.
Demonetization of high-denomination Indian currency in November 2016 triggered an explosion of interest in alternative currencies. According to some estimates, the volume of rupee-denominated bitcoin trades is third in the world, behind only U.S. dollars and Japanese yen.
However, on February 1, Finance Minister Arun Jaitley announced – after similar warning statements by the central bank in 2013 and twice in 2017 – that the state does not consider cryptocurrencies legal tender. The already-slumping value of bitcoin plummeted further, by an estimated 6.5%.
Still, cryptocurrency operators remain positive about the future of virtual currency, and some economists are convinced that this evolving technology will determine the future of the global economy.

Not Explicitly Illegal
The Reserve Bank of India has taken a stance against licensing any entity to operate with bitcoin and other virtual currencies, and frequently communicates warnings to users, holders, and traders about the risks that they are exposing themselves to.
On December 29, 2017, the Ministry of Finance issued a statement http://pib.nic.in/newsite/PrintRelease.aspx?relid=174985 emphasizing that virtual currencies had no legal tender in India, equating them to Ponzi schemes, and saying that transactions, because they are encrypted, are “likely being used to carry out illegal/subversive activities, such as terror-funding, smuggling, drug trafficking and other money-laundering acts.”
By not declaring virtual currencies legal, and by choosing not to regulate them without actually declaring them illegal, the government placed bitcoin in a troublingly grey area. (This is in contrast to Japan, Canada, Australia, Estonia and Chile, which have legalized it; and Bolivia, Iceland, Vietnam, Venezuela and others that have either banned it or imposed punitive measures.)
Moreover, at the beginning of 2018, Indian cryptocurrency exchanges and payment gateways received notifications from banks to make immediate changes to the way money flowed into their platforms, and warning them of account closure if they didn’t comply.
Koinex, India’s largest cryptocurrency exchange, posted a statement https://medium.com/koinex-crunch/inr-withdrawals-update-january-7-2018-6279bbe42bd2  on January 7: “A tussle between our payment service partner and their bank has caused an indefinite delay in the settlement of a large portion of deposits to Koinex in the past 2 weeks . .

While we have taken firm action, we are also in constant touch with the payment service provider and are providing our complete cooperation to help resolve the matter at the earliest.”

Vague Authority
The rationale behind Indian banks’ moves to suspend virtual currencies in India remains unclear, but hint at a directive from the central bank, which, as noted earlier, has shared an uneasy relationship with the traction of bitcoin in India. 

This directive would fall in line with the general pattern of task forces, nationwide surveys, and notices to traders and financial intermediaries to rein in what governments and banks believe to be a dangerous emerging phenomenon.
However, despite statements and actions discouraging people from trading and investing in bitcoin, several Indian investors began doubling down on the cryptocurrency market, driving bitcoin prices in the country even higher than global market trends.
The number of registrations across exchanges in India surged; bitcoin prices jumped nearly 14-fold in 2017, hitting an all-time high of $19,500 by mid-December (before plummeting to $12,000 and then recovering to $17,000 early in 2018). Trading volumes began doubling in the first weeks of 2018 (see figure 1).
Figure 1
bitcoin finance
Source: Coin Dance

This general rise in Indian bitcoin trading volume occurred despite the backdrop of a tumultuous global cryptocurrency market. Its popularity in India, particularly among celebrities and entertainers, is due to its appeal primarily as a financial asset, according to Zebpay, India’s first bitcoin exchange, as well as a market for remittances.
The drop in bitcoin trading volumes, from INR 83,214,245 to INR 11,637,525 between January 27 and February 10, seems to owe itself to the budget announcement. on February 1, in which Finance Minister Jaitley stated, “The Government does not consider cryptocurrencies legal tender or coin, and will take all measures to eliminate use of these crypto assets in financing illegitimate activities or as part of the payment system.”
Citi India, the only multinational bank among primary card issuers in India, on February 14 banned its customers from using the bank’s cards in purchasing cryptocurrencies:
 “Given concerns, both globally and locally including from the Reserve Bank of India, cautioning members of the public regarding the potential economic, financial, operational, legal, customer protection and security related risks associated in dealing with bitcoins, cryptocurrencies and virtual currencies, Citi India has decided to not permit usage of its credit and debit cards towards purchase or trading of such bitcoins, cryptocurrencies and virtual currencies.”
At the same time, it was reported https://news.bitcoin.com/more-crypto-jobs-in-india-despite-delhis-stance-on-bitcoin/   that jobs and applicants for employment in the country’s cryptocurrency sector have increased.

Allure Despite Volatility

During one period in 2013, bitcoin’s price increased 85-fold; the following year, it crashed. By the end of 2017, the big U.S. bitcoin exchange Coinbase said that it had signed 12 million customers, surpassing the accounts of several established financial institutions and brokerages, and became the most downloaded iPhone app. https://www.recode.net/2017/12/7/16749536/coinbase-bitcoin-most-downloaded-app-iphone  In early February, talk of government and bank bans caused bitcoin market capitalization to fall 14% in a week. http://fortune.com/2018/02/05/bitcoin-price-crash/ as major international banks stated their plans or actions of banning customers from using their cards to purchase it.

A bitcoin user should invariably tread carefully given the wild price swings.
Bitcoin finance
Source: CoinGecko

Nonetheless, strong interest stoked by geopolitical unease and distrust in traditional financial institutions will perhaps continue to add to the allure of a decentralized, volatile currency outside the control of banks and governments. This has been happening in India amidst flailing international prices, representing an increasing demand in India that supply, particularly with institutional forces working against it, may not be able to handle.
With platforms such as WhatsApp and Telegram making it even easier to connect sellers and buyers of virtual currencies (through the means of the platforms themselves, or through cryptocurrency wallets), the government could be at a loss for ways to stop the spread of cryptocurrency – because if they prohibit exchanges on platforms, the transactions will find a way to migrate elsewhere.
Perhaps the overarching lack of clarity from India’s leadership regarding the legality and mechanics of virtual currencies in India remains a determinant of their survival in the country. 

The larger question for the global economy, however, perhaps extends beyond the regulation of bitcoin – and seems to stem from that of decentralized technology itself, with its power to replace financial transactions, systems of power and meaning, and the very nature of our tomorrow.

Monday, December 5, 2016

How India Grapples with Cyber Threats

This article was first published by the Global Association for Risk Professionals on December 01, 2016;

On October 21, the National Payments Council of India confirmed one of the country’s biggest data breaches: a compromise of 3.2 million debit cards issued by leading banks including the State Bank of India, ICICI Bank, HDFC Bank and Axis Bank. It was a reminder that even as the Narendra Modi government has embarked on the Digital India campaign, cyber vulnerabilities and their costs to both the private and public sectors are significant and increasing.

Various studies show that the number of cybercrimes has been increasing substantially. As per data from the National Crime Records Bureau, it grew by 23 times over the 2005-2015 period. 

ASSOCHAM-Mahindra SSG put the compound annual growth rate at 107% from 2011 to 2015.
An Ernst & Young report said that 40% of respondents from India highlighted an increasing level of concern around cyber breaches or insider threats over the last two years. In March 2016, Ravi Shankar Prasad, then Communications and IT minister of India, reported to the upper house of parliament that in the year 2014, cybercrime cases in India went up by 69%.

Countermeasures in Progress
The government has stepped up efforts to combat cybercrime. Programs include public education to spread awareness, and there is a proposal to set up a cybersecurity and e-surveillance agency. In addition, the Reserve Bank of India, Securities Exchange Board of India and other regulators have issue cybersecurity guidelines and are expected to beef them up.

Microsoft Corp. has launched a Cyber Security Engagement Center (CSEC) in the National Capital Region. Microsoft India Chairman Bhaskar Pramanik said that “CSEC’s mission is to help build a trusted and secure computing environment, a critical enabler for India’s digital transformation. It will work towards fostering deeper cybersecurity collaborations with public- and private-sector organizations.”

In announcing the commitment, Pramanik said, “Cybersecurity is crucial for Digital India. A data driven economy can flourish only when governments, businesses and individuals have access to hyper scale and hyper flexible cloud computing with the confidence that their data is secure.”

Even as such initiatives become more critical, the National Cyber Security Policy of 2013 has not yet been implemented. Coordination is essential to tackle the menace of cybercrime. During the recently concluded CyFy 2016, the India conference on Internet Governance and Cyber Security, organized by the Observer Research Foundation, in Delhi, Carl Bildt, former Prime Minister of Sweden and head of the Global Commission on Internet Governance (GCIG), told the Times of India that “as an emerging cyber power, India needs to engage seriously on issues of Internet governance.”

Liability Insurance
While it is taking time to devise and implement policies at the national level, there is a solution that businesses can consider immediately: cyber liability insurance. The product has been available in the Indian market for some time, and companies in the IT, IT-enabled services and health care industries are showing interest. Most banks, however, have not gone beyond buying the mandatory bankers’ indemnity coverage.

“Cyber liability insurance is becoming very important nowadays, especially in the backdrop of the rising number of instances of cybercrime and data breaches,” says Sushant Sarin, senior vice president–commercial lines, Tata AIG General Insurance Co. Ltd.

“We see that more and more companies are buying them,” he says. “Those companies which were the first movers are buying more cover, and those that have not bought it yet are starting to explore it.”

The “limit of liability” for which companies need to buy insurance depends upon various factors, such as the type and volume of data, origin of data, location where the data resides, sensitivity of the data, data security protocols, peer group benchmarking, etc.

“If the data originates from Europe or the U.S., the data privacy laws are stricter there, so more Insurance will be required,” Sarin explains. “Similarly, if the data is personally sensitive or creates financial vulnerabilities, the amount of Insurance required will be much more.”

Possible Payouts
Sarin says that the amount payable by an insurance company when a cybercrime or data breach occurs would depend upon such factors as how the data got out; costs of notifying customers about the breach; fines or penalties imposed by regulatory bodies; damages awarded by courts to affected customers; reputational damage, etc.


One reason why some companies have not yet bought cyber liability coverage could be lack of awareness about the products, or a misguided belief that their organizations are secure. Given the current level of cyber risks and the likelihood that they will only get worse, the ready availability of insurance provides a practical option.

Monday, September 12, 2016

Mobilizing Data and Analytics in Malaysia

The interview was first published by the Global Association for Risk Professionals on September 09th 2016

Insurers turn to predictive and anomaly-detection techniques as fraud losses cut into profitability and cause regulatory concerns.

Mounting motor insurance claims have been a source of worry for general insurers in Malaysia. They suffered a net loss ratio for Motor Act business of 219.6% in 2015, and an above-100% combined ratio for the total motor portfolio. The losses are attributable to high frequency of third-party bodily injuries, rising accident rates and medical costs, as well as fraudulent claims (Source: ISM Insurance Services Malaysia’s Statistical Yearbook.) Industrywide efforts are being made to control the fraudulent claims payout. A fraud detection and prevention system of Insurance Services Malaysia (ISM) is part of the industrywide effort to control payouts of fraudulent claims.

ISM was conceptualized in 1998 by the General Insurance Association of Malaysia (PIAM), initially to establish the Malaysian Insurance Rating Organization. In 2003, MIRO and the MIS department were merged to form the ISM department, and the scope of the project was expanded to include anti-fraud and IT-related services. ISM Berhad was incorporated in 2005 and today provides an infrastructure of databases and analytics that allows members to make informed decisions and support a liberalized pricing environment, build competencies in quantitative underwriting and technical pricing, and increase efficiencies in operations. The shared information and capabilities are accessible online to enhance fraud detection.

Mahendran (Mahen) Samiappan, the chief executive officer of ISM, discusses in this interview with Dr. Nupur Pavan Bang the general insurance industry in Malaysia and efforts by the organization to curtail fraud.

What is the state of the general insurance market in Southeast Asia, and particularly Malaysia?
Motor Insurance is the largest portfolio in the region, followed by property. Health insurance is generally sold as a rider with life insurance policies. So in comparison to the life segment, health is not a very big business for the general insurance market. Health is also sold as unit linked policies by the life insurers.

In terms of technology and distribution, Singapore would be the leader, followed by maybe Malaysia and Thailand. Everyone acknowledges that Malaysia has good regulations due to the active role played by Bank Negara Malaysia as the regulator of this industry. We have averaged a growth rate of 6% to 8% in general insurance consistently. In 2015 the industry experienced much lower growth, 2.7%, and 2016 is expected to have a low growth rate as well.

What are some of the major challenges in Malaysian insurance?
The biggest challenge is pertaining to the motor portfolio. Motor comprises 47% of the total portfolio. It is still under the tariff regime, for both the third party (act or mandatory) as well as the own damage (non-act) cover. The act business endures heavy losses as a result of rising claims-cost bleeding. The current tariff was set out in 1978 and has not been revised since then.

Bank Negara Malaysia has put in place a road map for gradual liberalization of motor insurance tariffs. By July 2017, non-act business will be de-tariffed, and gradually the act business may also see certain adjustments in prices. The flexibility to price is important for the Insurers, but it may lead to price wars, as has been witnessed in some other countries. That may still mean that the portfolio remains loss making.

Is the market ready to price?
The larger players, who have backing from their foreign partners with considerable underwriting and technical know-how, are ready for risk-based pricing. The largest insurer would have about 15% of the market share and, with that kind of data, coupled with their capabilities, can do the pricing.

The smaller companies may not have adequate data, and this is where ISM comes in. ISM was established to support the industry in the de-tariffed environment. So we will definitely play our role and carry out our responsibility to support the industry in this transition. The regulator has also been aggressively going around and assessing the readiness of the insurers.

Does Malaysia face the uninsured-vehicle challenge that some markets do? Uninsured vehicles not only result in loss of premiums for the insurers, they also have huge economic impact on the uninsured vehicle owners and victims of accidents.
Not really. The Road Transport Department and insurance databases are linked. So if a vehicle does not have the mandatory third-party policy, road tax will not be issued by the department. Road tax in Malaysia is annual, and almost all vehicles would have at least the act policy.

For the victims of road accidents, ISM provides a Vehicle Information Exchange service – if the vehicle registration number is captured, the details of the insurer of the vehicle can be obtained.

How is the industry tackling its leakage problems?
It is true that leakages from premiums as well as claims are plaguing the insurers. It is plain fraud. In its road map, the regulator has clearly stated that they want to control and manage fraud. They don’t want the insurers to be lax on claims and then keep adjusting (increasing) the premiums to cover the losses. The focus is on fraud and data quality.

ISM’s Central No Claims Discount (NCD) database is already being used by the insurers to plug leakages at the application stage. Over the years, the NCD database has evolved into a system called Claims & Underwriting Exchange (CUE), which provides alerts to the insurers based on certain business rules. For example when an old vehicle moves from act only policy to a comprehensive policy, it is unusual, and hence an alert is sent to the insurer. These initiatives have helped to some extent.

Can you elaborate on fraud at the application stage?
Fraud at the application stage can be perpetrated by a customer providing a bogus identity or falsifying records like the driving license, use of the vehicle, incorrect claims history, etc. There is a strong linkage between claims fraud and fraud committed at the application stage. Reducing application fraud can significantly decrease the exposure to certain types of claims fraud. Stopping fraud at the application stage saves investigation, claim adjudication, litigation and recovery expenses.

How is the industry planning to deal with such fraud?
ISM is working on a platform with an objective for comprehensive fraud detection and prevention. Using analytics techniques such as predictive modeling, link analysis, anomaly detection and text mining, claims will be scored, and certain claims with high potential of fraud will be highlighted based on business rules and analytics. The insurers can allocate resources to investigate the highlighted claims and thereby make more effective use of available resources.


However, analytics and models are only as good as the data. So a right mix of analytics with prudence, diligence and judgment should be applied by the insurers while processing applications and claims.

Tuesday, June 7, 2016

The role of TPAs in the Health Insurance Eco System

This interview was first published in IIB Bulletin, Vol. 2, Iss. 4, 2016, pp.11-12

https://iib.gov.in/IIB/Articles/IIB%20Bulletin%20IIRFA2016.pdf


Malti Jaswal, has close to 30 years of experience in the General Insurance industry in India in different capacities; marketing, operations, claims management etc. She has worked with both public sector and multinational insurers. Since 2008, she is working in health insurance field and is an active member of multi‐stakeholder working groups on health insurance in India. She is a regular speaker at health insurance forums and she has published papers relating to Universal Health Care, Third Party Administrators (TPAs) best practices, claims management, and fraud control.  

 

She has also been a member of sub-committees of Ministry of Health on Categorisation of Hospitals and Costing of Care. As a Consultant, she worked on varied projects relating to health insurance training and education, Information Technology (IT), payer-provider exchange platforms, cost control, and fraud control.

 

She has developed a Certification Course on Health insurance for Insurance Institute of India. She is currently working as the Chief Operating Officer of the Health Insurance TPA of India Ltd (HI TPA), a joint venture of the four public sector general insurance companies in India, namely, National Insurance Company Ltd., New India Assurance Company Ltd., Oriental Insurance Company Ltd. and United India Insurance Company Ltd, along with GIC of India.

 

In a conversation with Dr. Nupur Pavan Bang of the Indian School of Business, Hyderabad, Jaswal talks about the need for HITPA, the important role played by TPAs and fraud in Health Insurance claims.

You have worked extensively in the field of Health Insurance. Can you tell us about the role of TPAs in the Health Insurance Industry in India?

The concept of TPAs came to India around the years 2001-2002. That was the time the Insurance sector was opened up to the private players. The private players, when they started, didn't have in- house capability of running 24*7 claims support functions and wished to focus on core areas to build business. Public sector companies also did not have such capabilities though Mediclaim (generic term for health insurance product of PSUs) is being sold since 1986. Thus outsourcing seemed a natural choice. This gave birth to the concept of TPA in India. The TPAs were licensed by the Insurance Regulatory and Development Authority of India (IRDAI) to ensure that certain minimum requirements were met to set up a TPA. 

There are 30 licensed TPAs in India. So what is the purpose of setting up another TPA- Health Insurance TPA of India (HI TPA), promoted by four public sector general insurance companies?

The growth of business in health insurance has been exponential in India in the last decade with a year-on-year growth of 25%-30%.  To handle the growing business, robust processes, latest systems and technology and trained people are needed. However, the required investment did not happen across the spectrum of TPAs and the TPA industry remains under capitalized even today.   

Most of the large private sector insurance companies, including standalone health insurers, gradually started setting up in-house TPA/claims management facilities to have better control and do not use TPAs in big way anymore. Public sector insurance companies however continue to use the TPAs because of certain peculiarities of 24*7 operations. The terms and conditions of employment contracts of public sector general insurance companies are not generally geared for engaging manpower for round the clock services nor is rest of infrastructure.  In my view perhaps, it is also realized that the demanding nature of 24*7 TPA services required by customers, could be delivered more efficiently and effectively through a non-public sector entity.

Thus it seems to be a considered decision for the four public sector companies to come together, pool capital and create such an entity. This way, adequate capital investment could be made in HI TPA from an IT perspective because robust IT infrastructure and trained manpower are the key requirements for the TPAs to handle complexities of current health insurance products and high volumes. The four companies already enjoy the benefit of scale when bargaining with the hospitals together under Preferred Provider Network (PPN) arrangements.

Would HITPA also provide services to private insurance companies? And would the PSU companies use only HI TPA’s services in the future?

As of now the TPA license given by IRDAI to HI TPA is only for the four public sector companies. We have represented to IRDAI to make the license open to service business of private insurers.

There is absolutely no doubt that PSU companies will continue to use multiple TPAs. There is no intention of moving business completely to HI TPA as voluminous business is being serviced by various TPAs and retaining competition in essential to ensure that all parties deliver value to the customer.  At the same time if there is an entity with adequate capital, trained and skilled resources, robust processes and IT infrastructure, which can in a way, set the benchmarks for the entire TPA industry in India; it will surely bring better practices and impact the market in a positive way.  HI TPA aims to be that entity.  

You mentioned that the concept of TPAs came to India around 2001-2002. Prior to that, the public sector companies were managing the claims in-house. Since many of the private companies are now setting up in-house TPAs and claims processing teams, why can’t even the public sector companies continue the earlier practise of settling the claims in-house?

Claims management is an integral part of any insurance operation world over.  Since inception public sector insurance companies have had high quality technical manpower to do so for all lines of their business. The companies were also managing health insurance claims in-house prior to 2002.

In 1986, retail Mediclaim was launched for the first time in India by the public sector companies. The practice from 1986 to 2000 was that the customer would pay the hospital from her pocket and get the expenses reimbursed later from the insurance company which could take many days/weeks. With the entry of private sector companies in joint venture with large and experienced international insurers, cashless facility was introduced, as one of most customer friendly service.

For cashless facility to work, TPAs were inducted to organize and facilitate the same 24*7*365. TPAs facilitate networking with the hospitals on one hand and cashless/claims processing for the customers on the other.   

So the TPAs only process cashless claims?

A claim is a claim whether on cashless basis or on reimbursement basis.  Cashless is a customer friendly process wherein customer need not pay for treatment and then file claim later.  However customer has every right to seek treatment in any non-network hospital (so long as it meets the criteria) and file for reimbursement claim.  A claim is admissible and payable depending on terms and conditions of the policy, on what risks are covered, to what extent etc. The TPAs process both types of claims, however traditionally (and even today), role of TPA is primarily considered to facilitate cashless and all other services around the same e.g. 24*7 call center, issuance of member id cards, hospital network etc.   

Does the TPA pay the claims?

As per IRDAI guidelines, claims are required to be paid and repudiated by insurers directly to customer/provider.  TPA’s role is to process the claims as per guidelines of the specific insurance company and subject to terms and conditions of the policy.   The TPAs do not carry the risk, nor are involved in selling or underwriting. 

Some accounts put Health Insurance frauds to the tune of 15% of all health insurance claims in India. That is huge and puts a lot of burden on the customers in the form of increased policy premiums. Would HI TPA be instrumental, to some extent, in controlling fraud in health insurance?

As the health insurance industry has grown in India, so has the number of fraud cases and also modus operandi of fraudsters is getting sophisticated.  High growth tends to loosen controls and here in India we do not have Health Regulator. HI TPA aims to fulfil the twin objectives of its creation - enhancing customer experience and bringing in greater efficiency in Health Insurance claims processing.  Efficiency in claims processing would also incorporate better handle on controlling and managing fraud.

Can you elaborate on the ways in which fraud may be controlled?

The main job of TPA is claims processing and managing the hospitals network. TPAs handle the claims process right from the point of intimation to the settlement of the claim. TPAs have good IT systems. Policy data is integrated with their systems. Policyholder and members’ (people covered in the policy in the case of family and group policies) profiles are available with the TPAs as also the details about network hospital. All this information, coupled with the knowledge about medical practices and hospital tariff should make it easy to detect any outlier behaviour or pattern.

For example, let’s say a customer reports a non-emergency claim 1000 kilometres away from home.  It should ring a bell. If it's a non-emergency claim, why would a patient go to a hospital which is so far away from home unless it’s a specialty treatment like cancer.  Another example, if there is a very large reimbursement claim of say Rs400,000 or more, it should raise an alert. Why a customer would chose to pay such a large sum out-of-pocket and not avail the cashless facility made available in so many good tertiary care hospitals in normal circumstances.

During the entire chain of events, from intimation to payment, there are at least 5 or 6 trigger points, which a smart system and skilled manpower should be able to detect. Next step is data analytics in retrospect. Sometimes small value claims can slip through. But if analysed appropriately, those leakages would also become apparent over a period of time and amenable to control.

In India, there is no proper definition of what is a financial/insurance fraud. In the absence of a clear definition, even if a fraud is detected, the companies may choose to not pursue it if the amount is small. Even when a company decides to take legal recourse, the battle is often very long drawn and not worth the effort. As an industry, are there any steps being taken to tackle this lacunae?

It's indeed a big lacunae – there is no definition of insurance fraud under Indian laws nor provisos to deal with the same. There are three angles to fraud management; one is detection, second is recovery, and third is prevention/deterrence and punitive action.  Right now the insurance industry in India is primarily focused on detection and to some extent on recovery.  Not losing the money is the first and foremost priority. Unfortunately, prevention through punitive deterrent action is missing because our legal system and penal codes have not yet caught up with the changes in the financial and insurance domain. The Insurance Act of 1938, in spite of the recent amendments to it, doesn’t carry any active provisions to handle fraud. Punitive action is necessary for effective deterrence.

There have been industry level discussions at the Federation of Indian Chamber of Commerce and Industries and the Confederation of Indian Industries about what can be done to tackle fraud in the absence of legal provisions and health regulator. There have been suggestions to involve the Indian Medical Council to prevent doctors from conniving with the customers and hospitals to exaggerate claims or be a party to the fraud in any way. A few companies have started issuing letters to hospitals and doctors to seek explanation when a certain course of treatment seems unreasonable.   ‘Name & shame’ guidelines have been discussed.  


IRDAI has taken cognizance of growing menace and ways to control the same. IIB is also now directing lot of action to health data collection and analysis, hospital registry has been set up for the first time. Though a small step, data sharing of fraudulent customers and fraudulent hospitals has now started. Hopefully in times to come, we shall see more action on this front.  

Wednesday, January 20, 2016

Micro Insurance: Opportunity, Not Charity

This article was first published by the Global Association for Risk Professionals on January 12, 2016

With India’s under-served population as a case example, there is potential for economies of scale through efficient deployment of technology

In his 2014 book “Capital in the Twenty-First Century,” Thomas Piketty focused on income inequality and called attention to India, where inequality appears very stark despite a lack of data to prove or disprove it. Some of the homes of the ultra rich, in the city of Mumbai, among the most expensive homes in the world, overlook Dharavi, one of the largest slums in the world.

Within the context of access to financial services, insurance is a very critical financial risk management tool. Yet those who may need it the most, such as people vulnerable to natural catastrophes, loss of Income and infectious diseases due to lack of sanitation or access to health care, often have no Insurance.

Twenty-two percent of India’s population is below poverty line (according to estimates published by the Indian government’s Planning Commission in 2013), and a major chunk of the overall population is excluded from the protection of insurance. Life insurance penetration is 2.6%, and the general insurance penetration is merely 0.7%, whereas mobile phone penetration is close to 80%.

Furthermore, the insured in India are covered for just six months of income, and 60% to 70% of health care expenses are borne out of pocket.

Regulatory Push

Micro insurance regulations by the Insurance Regulatory and Development Authority of India (IRDAI) in 2005 were steps in the direction of making Insurance accessible and affordable. The regulations compelled insurers to look at an otherwise neglected market segment. A 2015 regulation, Obligations of Insurers to Rural and Social Sectors, provided further micro insurance impetus, requiring insurers to write fixed percentages of their business to the segments classified as “rural” and “social” each year.

There has thus been a steady increase in number of policies sold to individuals, though the overall premium collected from individuals have declined in the recent years (Exhibit 1). Almost 5 million policies, bought by individuals, are mostly self-funded, which indicates that the targeted segments have a need and are willing to purchase insurance.

Exhibit 1

While the individual micro insurance business is catching up, the group business dominates the sector. There was a significant decline in the premium collected and lives covered in FY2010-11 & 2011-12. There was resurgence in FY2012-13.

Insurance in India is generally a “push-based” business, with face-to-face selling by agents playing an important role. Agents’ importance increases in the micro insurance context, as this segment needs greater convincing and push. Although there has been a steady increase in micro insurance agents, the numbers are not adequate to cater to the vast population (Exhibit 2).

Exhibit 2

In spite of efforts by the regulator to enable the Insurers to remove rigidities in accessing the rural markets and customizing the insurance solutions for the targeted, a large number of the segment remains uninsured.

Factors in Under-Penetration

Temperament and awareness are the most important of the many reasons for under-penetration in the market. Those who are aware about Insurance often have the attitude that they will never need it — that catastrophes or accidents will strike others. Insurance can seem an unnecessary expense when it is a struggle to get two square meals a day. What’s more, a large swath of the population lacks awareness about insurance.

From an insurer’s perspective, this part of the population is mobile (in search of work), does not have a steady stream of income and takes a lot of cajoling to buy a policy. There are challenges in distribution, as not many agents are willing to target those below the poverty line. This segment lacks access to or knowledge of technology to buy online, and reinsurance support is not forthcoming.

There is also the question of whether the products are suitable for very low-income customers who would prefer to insure crops or cattle or loss of income, with premium payment schedules that match the seasonality of their income. Policy document can be complicated, the products too cumbersome to understand.

The Solution

Reaching such a sizable, under-served market entails solutions that are extremely specific to the prospective customers. The approach must be to simplify, customize and create awareness. Use mobile technology, and speedy settlements. And rely on people with local knowledge to convince the customers about the need for protection.


It is important that insurers start looking at micro insurance as a business opportunity, rather than charity. Given the large population, in India as well as globally, who can benefit from micro insurance policies, economies of scale will set in as technology is put to efficient use.

Thursday, November 19, 2015

Top 5 Diseases Analysis

This article was first published in the IIB Bulletin, Vol 2, Issue 2, pp9-10; Co-Author- Syed Md. Ismail

https://iib.gov.in/IIB/Articles/IIB%20Bulletin%20Q2%202015-16.pdf

Many studies have indicated that Indians are now more vulnerable to non-communicable diseases than communicable diseases due to changing lifestyles and income levels. Cardiovascular diseases have displaced communicable diseases as the biggest killer in India and, according to a 2010 University of Toronto study, the leading cause of death in middle aged men is heart disease, even in poorer states such as Uttar Pradesh and Bihar.

A sub-set of the claims data for the Financial Year 2013-14 available with IIB was used. The selected data comprised of claims where the diagnosis code (ICD10) and the pincode of the hospital was provided. The selected claims consisted of both Group as well as Individual policies. The effects of Sum Insured or gender or age are not considered in this analysis. The claims selected amounted to Rs.3,355 crores of claims paid for 11,22,652 claims.

The analysis shows that circulatory diseases have the highest average claims paid among all disease categories, accounting for 13% of claims paid analyzed (Exhibit 1).

According to a report published by the Indian Association of Prevention and Social Medicine, “Decline in morbidity and mortality from communicable diseases have been accompanied by a gradual shift to, and accelerated rise in the prevalence of, chronic non-communicable diseases (NCDs) such as cardiovascular disease (CVD), diabetes, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD), cancers, mental health disorders and injuries”. The top 5 disease categories (out of 22 broad disease categories as per ICD 10) which account for 51% of claims paid, in the sample under study are, apart from circulatory disease, Injury (10%), Digestive (10%), Urology (9%) and Neoplasm (8.5%) (Exhibit 1).

The same report states that “though there have been substantial achievements in controlling communicable diseases, still they contribute significantly to disease burden of the country”. The amount of claims paid is relatively smaller for Infectious diseases, but they account for largest number of claims as per our analysis (Exhibit 1).


It was also noticed in our analysis that Mumbai accounts for the largest number of health claims, accounting for 27% of the 11,22,652 claims studied, amounting to 30% of the claims paid. The other large cities which account for significant number of claims paid are Delhi (19%), Kolkata (14%), Bengaluru (12%), Chennai (11%) and Hyderabad (10%), with others accounting for the remaining 5% only (Exhibit 2).

Exhibit 1

Exhibit 2


The case for Mental Health Insurance

This article was first published in the IIB Bulletin, Vol 2, Issue 2, pp17-18

https://iib.gov.in/IIB/Articles/IIB%20Bulletin%20Q2%202015-16.pdf

As per the World Health Organization (WHO), Mental health refers to a broad array of activities directly or indirectly related to the mental well-being components included in the WHO's definition of health: "A state of complete physical, mental and social well-being, and not merely the absence of disease". It is related to the promotion of well-being, the prevention of mental disorders, and the treatment and rehabilitation of people affected by mental disorders.

Common forms of mental illnesses include Depression, Anxiety/ Phobias, Eating Disorder and Stress, among others. Some of the severe forms of Mental Illness are Schizophrenia, Bipolar disorder (Manic depression), Clinical depression, Suicidal tendency, and Personality disorder.

According to National Institute of Mental Health and National Alliance on Mental Illnesses, in the US, 1 in every 4 persons suffers from some form of Mental Illness or the other, while this statistic is 1 in 6 persons in India. The impact is that people with mental illness die 25 years earlier than other Americans and more than 90 percent of suicide cases are found to have one or more mental disorders.

In a study done by BeyondCore, Inc. on people insured between the ages of 18-35, in the USA, it was found that Mental Illness has a compounding effect on claims (cost of treatment). For example, the annual cost for young adults with heart failure was $42,000, for people taking antidepressants was $7,700, but people who had both heart failure and were taking antidepressants had an annual cost of $70,000 (see Figure 1). 

Figure 1: Compounding effect of Mental Illness



To the economy, the loss of earnings due to mental illness amounts to US$193 billion per annum. Globally, depression alone affects 400 million persons and was estimated to cost at least US$800 billion in 2010 in lost economic output, by WHO, a sum expected to more than double by 2030. While such statistics are not available for India, it will be reasonable to assume that the impact would be significant.

In fact, the situation in India may be worse as acknowledging suffering from some form of Mental Illness is culturally a taboo in India. On top of that, the availability of help in terms of psychiatrists, psychiatric beds, clinical psychologists, etc. is much below the required numbers. For example, there are approximately 3000 psychiatrists in India vis-Ă -vis a requirement of 150000.  

Health Insurance policies also exclude Mental Illness specifically. Extracts from the policy documents of a few health insurance products read as follows:
  • “the following fall under permanent exclusions: Any expense incurred on treatment of mental Illness, stress, psychiatric or psychological disorders”
  •  “this policy excludes: Psychiatric, mental disorders (including mental health treatments)”

Insurance plays a key role in Healthcare financing. Insurance is based on law of large numbers and there is no denying the large number of people suffering from mental illness. The trouble of course is that Insurance contracts are based on utmost faith and the policyholder must disclose complete known information about his physical and mental health at the time of buying the policy. The fear of inadequate disclosure by the customer may deter the Insurers from offering policies on Mental Health insurance.

Assessing the risks may remain a challenge for the underwriters till adequate data becomes available. Collating the data from various institutions like National Institute of Mental Health and Neurosciences and the Institute of Mental Health and Hospital, Agra may help the Insurance companies design appropriate products.

Use of innovative techniques may come in handy to some extent. For example, social media analytics of an individual may reveal suicidal tendencies or enquiries about specific problems like depression, anxiety, etc. Sentiment analysis can help find people at risk. These can then be verified with the customer and specific undertaking may be taken from the customer if he does not agree with the findings.


Mental illness is also a major cause for the high number of suicides in India. Intervention at the right time, access to healthcare, along with health financing will play a major role in talking the problem of suicides related to mental illness as well as prevention of the illness getting aggravated. It is a serious issue and the Insurers can play a major role to make a difference!