Magical or Menace

This article was originally published in Postnoon on September 28, 2012

http://postnoon.com/2012/09/28/magical-or-menace/76337

Dr. Raghuram G. Rajan, former chief economist of the International Monetary Fund (IMF), and currently the Chief Economic Advisor (CEA) in the Ministry of Finance, Government of India, a proponent of Foreign Direct Investment (FDI), supported the recently announced 51% FDI in retail by the Indian ruling government, calling it (FDI) the 'safest form of financing' because it is 'long-term' and brings in 'competition'. He is also hopeful that the FDI would result in improvements in the logistical infrastructure.

The ruling United Progressive Alliance government has also claimed that the FDI in retail will change the supply chain and infrastructure at the farm level and will reduce wastages. On the other hand, the opposition claims that the FDI in retail will wipe out the so-called mom-and-pop store.

The infrastructure is needed. But, the so called proposition that the infrastructure landscape will change due to FDI, it's a misnomer. Why is it that the large retail chains like Reliance and the Aditya Birla group have not been able to do it? They have deep pockets and the best talent in the world. The answer lies in the bottlenecks and the systemic problems that are there in the sector. Such infrastructural projects are not financially viable.

The cost of funds are typically around 16-17% for such projects. At this cost, a simple agricultural warehouse, without land, costs between Rs 400-500/- per sqft to construct. And the going rentals are Rs5-7 per sqft. The return is less than the cost of funds. How will investment come into this sector? And this is without land. If you don't have land, if you include the cost of land, the costs will go up to Rs1200-1300sqft. Even if you take the best of rentals (10-15 sft) at the most prime locations, it is still a negative NPV project.

It is often said that food is being wasted due to lack of infrastructure. Yes, the food does rot in the Food Corporation of India's (FCI) warehouses. Have you seen any trader's stock rotting? No. That's because FCI has a populist mandate. FCI is supposed to be a trading organization. It is supposed to buy the grains depending on the capability to sell, based on the demand from the Public Distribution System. It should have storage space, only then buy. They don't do it and hence the grains get damaged.

The mom-and-pop stores too will survive. They offer a different kind of paradigm and value proposition in comparison to the large stores. Another allegation is that the foreign retail companies have very deep pockets and can afford to make losses for 3-5 years. By then they will wipe out the mom and pop stores and then they will monopolize the market. It seems baseless. While the theoretical possibility is there, the cultural and systemic nature of India makes it a very remote possibility.

Well, the reality is that FDI is neither a magical wand, nor a menace. It is about giving choice to the people of this country.

CRR and Repo explained

This article was originally published in Postnoon on September 21, 2012


http://postnoon.com/2012/09/21/crr-and-repo-explained/74537

The Reserve Bank of India (RBI), announced on Monday, that they with keep the policy repo rate unchanged at 8% and cut the Cash Reserve Ratio (CRR) by 0.25%, to 4.5%. What does this mean for you (the readers)?

The repo rate is the rate at which RBI lends money to the commercial banks. Using this rate as the benchmark, the banks decide their Prime Lending Rate (PLR). PLR is the rate at which a bank lends to its most credit worthy customers. They add basis points (one basis point is 0.01%) to PLR, if a customer's credit worthiness is lower.

The credit worthiness of a customer is determined by the repayment capacity of the customer, repayment of both interest and principal. It is also determined by the past record of the customer with respect to payments. For example, does the customer pay his credit card bills on time, does he pay his loan installments on time etc. There is an agency called Credit Information Bureau (India) Limited (CIBIL), which assigns a credit score to each individual depending on the past payments records. Banks use this score when determining the creditworthiness of an individual.

Now back to repo rate. So when repo rate goes up, our loans get more expensive as the banks will raise the PLR and if the repo rate goes down, our loans will get cheaper. RBI has kept this rate unchanged at 8% this time.

CRR is the percentage of money that the banks are supposed to keep with the RBI to meet the withdrawal demands for fixed deposits or any other time liabilities. The CRR is a percent of the Net Demand and Time Liabilities (NDTL) of the bank. When CRR is high, banks have lesser money with them to lend out. On the other hand, when CRR is reduced, the banks have more money with them to lend. This brings in more money supply in the market. Since RBI has reduced the CRR, the money supply should go up in the market.

What is meant by money supply going up? It means that the banks will have more money to lend, and hence more people may be able to get loans. This means that more money will be circulating in the economy. A few banks may decide to decrease the interest rates for auto or home loans. Though it is unlikely as the repo rate is same.

Why did the RBI not reduce the repo rate as well? That's because they are being cautious. They are worried about inflation. If the repo rate is reduced, people will be able to borrow money at a cheaper rate. This will encourage them to borrow and spend. If they borrow and spend, the demand for goods and services will go up. If demand goes up, prices will further go up.

Hence, the RBI has kept the repo rate unchanged.

Is Inflation Good for Growth?

Published in the business section of www.rediff.com on 21 September, 2012


http://www.rediff.com/business/slide-show/slide-show-1-column-is-inflation-good-for-growth/20120921.htm

In a G-24 Policy brief (2012), Anis Chowdhury (UN-DESA) and Iyanatul Islam (ILO) sum up the Inflation Targeted as well as non-targeted)-Growth debate. From their brief, it can be said that monetary policies targeting inflation may not result in better growth than countries that do not have a policy of targeting Inflation.

They quote Friedman (1973): “Historically, all possible combinations have occurred: inflation with and without [economic] development, no inflation with and without [economic] development”.

A little bit of Inflation is good. But too much is bad. Empirical Analysis of inflation and growth over the past 50-60 years, in multiple nations, have concluded every possible combination of the two variables is possible, which ratifies Friedman's statement.

The monetary policy announced on Monday, left the interest rates unchanged at 8%. However, in a surprise move, the cash reserve ratio (CRR) of scheduled banks were reduced by 25 basis points from 4.75 per cent to 4.50 per cent of their net demand and time liabilities (NDTL) which according to RBI is expected to infuse approximately Rs170 billion of primary liquidity into the banking system. While the move will give greater freedom to the banks to lend, the unchanged policy repo rate, may not bring in many takers for the loans.

The Reserve Bank of India has maintained that Inflation is too high for their comfort. The point to note here is that the correlation between interest rate and inflation, in India, in the past 10 years, taking September to September rates, is a very small 0.16 only. On the other hand, they are highly correlated with GDP (-0.31) and stock market performance (-0.60).

In a research done by Muneesh Kapur and Harendra Behera (2012), who were both with the RBI at the time of doing the research, they concluded, " the evidence for both India and other countries suggest that the impact of monetary policy actions on inflation is modest and subject to lags... Despite the monetary tightening by Reserve Bank of India during 2010 and 2011, inflation remained high and this could be attributed to the structural component of food inflation as well as the surge in international commodity prices beginning the second half of 2010 and continuing into the first half of 2011".

Inflation can be controlled by controlling budget deficits and by easing bottlenecks to improve supply, as well. But burgeoning subsidies expenditure by the government and inefficiencies have resulted in an expected fiscal deficit of more than 7%; and if the government fails to raise money by divesting the proposed public sector undertakings in the coming year, it will be a reality.

Because of this, the entire onus of controlling the inflation has fallen on the RBI. Which is having an impact on the growth rate.

The stock market rejoiced on Friday, with the benchmark index (SENSEX) moving up by 443 points as the government, led by Dr. Manmohan Singh, announced a subsidy cut on Diesel and easing the FDI norms for the retail and aviation sectors. Monday was not to be the icing on the cake.

Corruption and Money Laundering

This article was first published in Moneylife on September 20th, 2012, co-authored with Khemchand H Sakaldeepi


http://www.moneylife.in/article/corruption-and-money-laundering/28564.html

First the Gandhian, Anna Hazare and then the yoga guru, turned social activist, Baba Ramdev; India has witnessed two major voices against corruption in the last year. While Anna and his team's movement primarily focused on bringing a strong Lokpal Bill, Baba Ramdev has been crusading to bring back the black money stashed away in Swiss banks, to India.

Corruption has assumed unprecedented proportions with the Coalgate allocation scam running into billions of dollars and everyone from the erstwhile Bhartiya Janta Party government (now the main opposition party), led by Atal Bihari Vajpayee to the current United Progressive Alliance (UPA) government, led by Dr. Manmohan Singh, being under the scanner. The Indian parliament hardly worked in the monsoon session, with the ruling party and the opposition at loggerheads with each other.

A ray of hope, in the midst of the political circus, seems to be the Indian banking system, that has been resilient in the past, conservative and cautious. The recent cases of laxity in vigilance and violation of regulations at the HSBC and the Standard Chartered banks, have resulted in trillions of illicit money gaining access to the US markets. This raises questions about the steps taken towards the prevention of money laundering by countries across the globe.

India became a full-fledged member of the Financial Action Task Force (FATF), an inter-governmental body which works towards combating money laundering and terrorist financing in the year 2010. Since then, India has been co-operating with the other member nations in sharing information regarding suspicious, money laundering and terrorist financing activities.

According to FATF, "corruption has the potential to bring catastrophic harm to economic development, the fight against organized crime, and respect for the law and effective governance". Early this month, both NSE and BSE, the leading stock exchanges of the nation, urged the investors to exercise caution in dealing with entities linked to Iran, following warnings from FATF.

The question is, being a member of FATF and at the same time struggling with corruption at home, is India doing enough to combat money laundering? A survey on Anti Money Laundering by KPMG in India (2012) revealed that about 11 percent of the respondents find that more than 25 percent of their SWIFT messages have incomplete originator information. The survey also finds that more that majority of respondents found the client screening, handling of filter hits and maintenance of sanction lists was either moderately challenging or challenging. And less than 50 percent use either internal or external sophisticated IT systems to identify potential money laundering cases.

In the US there exists a list of Specially Designated Nationals and a list of Countries identified which should be screened for identifying potential risky transactions, better known as OFAC (Office of the Foreign Asset Control) List. US people and companies are banned from dealing with entities in this list.

In India too, Financial Intelligence Unit - India (FIU-India) along with the RBI, has been working towards making the screening system more rigorous. If the processes are implemented in letter as well as spirit, financial companies like Banks, NBFCs and Insurance companies, who collectively control the flow of money in the economy can directly hinder the plans of rogue elements by making their financial life miserable.

Also, there exists Know Your Customers (KYC) and Customer Due Diligence (CDD) guidelines in India, which can be easily flouted due to the multiple ways in which one can fulfill these requirements. India still does not have a single identity for its citizens, on the lines of the US Social Security Number. Same person can have multiple address and identity proofs in the form of state issued passport, driving license, ration card, or the most recent being the Aadhar card.

Going by the KPMG report, while India is taking baby steps in the right direction, there are major milestones to be covered in terms of training, reporting and technology to be able to use some of the most sophisticated algorithms involving abnormality detection, predictive models and social network analysis. In fact, it is said that if Facebook was a country then it would be the 3rd biggest in the world. The combination of data from social network and technology can help us create sophisticated bad behavior detection tools.

The recent technological advances have helped many institutions to harness the power of large datasets. The companies can process and collect data at close to real-time and with the help of certain algorithms, classify and detect malicious behavior instantly. This is like any other antivirus system found on computers, but different in terms of target units i.e. money laundering and terrorist financing.

The existing systems in India have clearly not prevented black money and the proceeds of corruption from leaving the country. Hopefully the next generation revolutionaries can actually use technology to bring about the change we want to see instead of relying on the old fashioned political rhetoric. Next time when someone says “Hum bahar ka paisa vapas layenge” (Read: Baba Ramdev claiming to bring back the black money stashed in Swiss banks) then we must ask “What’s your analytics quotient?”

CRAs wake up Singh

This article was first published in the Free Press Journal on September 17th, 2012


Prime Minister, Dr. Manmohan Singh, the architect of India's liberalization policies and the person credited with ending the license raj, had slipped into oblivion in the last few years. He has been often criticized of being a puppet at the hands of Mrs. Sonia Gandhi, the President of UPA. Increasingly so in the past year when the Indian Economy has experienced a slowdown and loss of investors' confidence. Dr. Singh seems to have reincarnated himself in the light of the downgrade threats from Credit Rating Agencies (CRAs).

Empirical analysis of credit rating downgrades conclusively point towards a fall in benchmark indices across the world, by 0.3% to 1.2% on the day of the downgrade and the next day. Research also shows that the CRAs do provide new information to the market, and the information is especially significant in the case of downgrades.

However, the failure of CRAs to warn the investors of many a recent events (both at company as well as country levels), have raised questions on the worthiness of the CRAs itself. Marwan Elkhoury, Economist and Mathematician, writes in the Compendium on Debt Sustainability and Development (UN, 2009), "Ratings tend to be sticky, lagging markets, and then to over react when they do change. This over reaction may have aggravated financial crises in the recent past, contributing to financial instability and cross country contagion".

But the point of interest to us in India is the next line written by him, "Moreover, the actions of countries which strive to maintain their rating grades through tight macroeconomic policies may be counterproductive for long term investment and growth". To the credit of RBI, they have resisted any efforts of bowing out to the calls of a decrease in interest rates by the industry.

The UPA government though has bowed down to the fear of a credit rating downgrade, to junk status. They have announced a hike in Diesel prices and unleashed the reforms to bring in FDI in retail, aviation, power exchanges and broadcasting services.

The thing is, bowing down is not always bad. So the question is are these reforms really good for India? Are the reforms enough? Is it too little, too late? While a downgrade will have adverse impact on the stock market, FII inflows, credit and growth, the reforms announced will not have much of an impact if the entire ecosystem to do business is not made more favorable. Delays in projects due to multiple clearances required at the state and centre level and rampant corruption will only keep the investors at bay and push the exports, industrial output and GDP further down.

Dr. Singh, if you have really woken up from your slumber, go all out, leave no stones unturned. You do want to be remembered as the "Reformer" and not the "Underachiever"!

Commitment Rewards

This article was originally published in Postnoon on September 14th, 2012

http://postnoon.com/2012/09/14/commitment-rewards/72810

I saw Abhi waiting for me again near my office. He had applied for a home loan about two weeks back. I had explained the process of applying for the home loan and also how the EMI's work. I wondered what's brought him back to me so soon. I didn't have to wait long. He had his papers out, even before I could open the door to my office.

Abhi: Nicky, the bank has sent people over to my house to check if I actually live there. They even called and visited my office.

Nicky: That's routine. Nothing to be worried about. They are just doing their job. Due diligence.

Abhi: Yeah, yeah. I understand. I am not here for that. Yesterday, my friend told me about a scheme that Axis Bank has come up with. He told me that if I take a loan for a period of 20 years and keep paying all my EMIs on time, without any defaults, the bank will waive off my last one year installments (that is last 12 months' installments).

Nicky: Oh yes, I heard about that. You need to be locked with them for 15 years time to avail of that offer.

Abhi: How does that matter?

Nicky: Oh it does. Because it means that you cannot avail this benefit if you decide to prepay your loan before 15 years. It also means that you cannot avail this benefit if you transfer your balance to another bank, if they offer to charge a lower rate of return.

Abhi: Does this mean that the scheme is useless?

Nicky: Not at all. I'll explain this with an example. A person taking Rs 50 lakhs as loan, for a period of 20 years, at 11%p.a. interest, will need to pay an EMI of Rs 51,609 per month. According to this scheme, he will be able to save Rs6,19,308 after 15 years, the equivalent of one year's EMI.

Abhi: That's quite a lot of money!

Nicky: Well. So it seems. But then, you see, the value of money 15 years down the line, is not the same as the value of money today. So its present value, after accounting for an average inflation of say 7%, is just Rs 2.24 lakhs. The value could be lower if you take a higher inflation or a higher opportunity cost.

Abhi: You are getting into a lot of jargons. Just tell me what should I do?

Nicky: Take an informed decision. All other terms being same, with no intentions to default, or switch your lender and if you are sure that you will keep the loan for at least 15 years, then this scheme is for you. The benefit in present value terms is not as big as you think. But it is definitely a benefit.

On the other hand, if you think you might want to repay earlier or might want to change the lending bank sometime in the future, then this scheme may not benefit you and this scheme should not be the deciding factor for choosing a home loan provider.

Understanding EMIs

This article was originally published in Postnoon on September 9th, 2012


http://postnoon.com/2012/09/07/understanding-emis/71082

A week after our first set of discussions about home loans, Abhi came back to me for further assistance with understanding home loans. He told me that he had approached his bank and started the process of getting a loan sanctioned. He had already submitted self attested copies of four months pay slips, six months' salary bank statements, past three years Form 16s, ID proof, address proof, PAN Card and the employee ID.

Abhi: Nicky, tell me, what are EMIs and how are they calculated?

Nicky: Equated Monthly Installment or EMI, as they are popularly known as, is a fixed amount of money that you return to the bank, on a specific date of each month. The EMI consists of part repayment of principal and the interest. It is calculated in such a way that over a period of time, if you pay all the EMIs on time, your loan will get completely repaid.

Abhi: Why don't we just pay the interest every month and repay the principal after the term of the loan is over?

Nicky: Well, you could do that. But that would mean that you pay interest on the entire principal throughout the term. Also, when the term gets over, you may not have enough money to repay the principal. In EMIs, because you are also repaying a part of the principal every month, the interest component keeps decreasing every month. Every month, you pay interest on a lesser principal.

Another advantage is that the principal repayment is spread over many months, typically 240 or 120 months, relieving you of the burden of paying a very large amount at one time in the end. For example, if you were to take a loan of Rs10 lakhs at an interest of 11%, you will need to pay an EMI of Rs10,322 per month. This is equal to Rs1,23,864 per annum. If you look at the Table, you can clearly see that every year, your payment towards interest is coming down, as the interest is calculated only on the balance of the principal amount. If you keep paying Rs10,322 every month, for 20 years, you would have cleared your entire loan, along with all the interest.

Year Principal Repayment Interest Paid Outstanding Principal

Abhi: That's very comforting.

Nicky: And that's not all. You can also avail of tax benefits on both the principal as well as the interest paid.

Abhi: Hmmm...I just wish that my sanction letter comes soon and we are able to move into our new home as soon as possible!

Paperwork Check Must

This article was originally published in Postnoon on August 31st, 2012


http://postnoon.com/2012/08/31/paperwork-check-must/69584

My recently married cousin, Abhi, was contemplating buying a home. After putting all his savings together, he was still short of around Rs20 lakhs to buy the house that his wife and he liked. Being an engineer by education and by profession, he always found it difficult to handle financial matters. It is more a mental block than the capability to understand or deal with finances.

He came to me to understand the home loan process.

Abhi: A lot of the banks advertise that the home loan will be processed, sanctioned and made available within a week or 10 days. Is it so simple?

Nicky: Abhi, that's what they say. But you have to be realistic. It's not so simple. You first need to get a whole lot of documents in place like your recent bank statements, salary slips and job offer letter, Form 16 issued by the company, passport sized photographs, Pan Card, Address Proof, Agreement of Sale etc.

After you submit these to the bank's sales team, they will then send it to their loan processing officer. Who will, rest assured, ask for more documents. You provide those, they will ask for something else.

Abhi: But why does this happen?

Nicky: That's because of inadequate training to the sales team and their half hearted efforts. They do not give a complete list to begin with, to the customer. They do not check the documents properly and take it from the customer. If they did, they would know that the photo in the ID proof is not clear and hence the loan processing officer will not clear the file. Or, the amounts in the bank statements showing the down payment to the builder do not add up to at least 20% of the value of the property.

Once they collect the cheque for the processing fees, their motivation to help you is lost. So they keep coming back to you and asking for more and more documents. And they will always justify by saying that the 'regulations have changed'.

Abhi: This is de-motivating. If the process is so tiresome, why would anyone take a home loan?

Nicky: Do you have any other choice? Can you get a loan from somewhere else? Well, the answer is No. For most of us. So, whether we like it or not, we are stuck with this system. And then look at it this way, after you get the loan, you will be the owner of your dream house. So keep your cool. Patience is the key. You will get your loan.

Abhi: That's true. How about the interest rates and the EMI?

Nicky: Ah that! Can we do it later? I have a class now...

Algorithmic Trading

This article was originally published in Postnoon on August 24th, 2012


http://postnoon.com/2012/08/24/algorithmic-trading/67942

From time to time, Algorithmic Trading (AT) or High Frequency Trading (HFT) hits the headlines, mainly due to regulatory concerns. The main concerns of the regulators being transparency, fairness and systemic stability.

A couple of days back, they were back in the news as the Delhi Highcourt issued notices to the regulator, Securities Exchange Board of India (SEBI), the exchanges: NSE and BSE, the Finance Ministry and the RBI. The notices were sent as a result of the plea of Intermediaries and Investor Welfare Association, which has alleged that AT "discriminates between rich and influential brokers and common investors/retail investors and creates inequality and finally casts a deceptive data to common investors and retail investors while trading in shares and securities on online trading platforms of BSE and NSE".

Let's look at what is AT in today's article.

Definition

According to wikipedia, AT, also called automated trading, black-box trading, or algo trading, is the use of electronic platforms for entering trading orders with an algorithm deciding on aspects of the order such as the timing, price, or quantity of the order, or in many cases initiating the order without human intervention.

A special class of algorithmic trading is (HFT), in which computers make elaborate decisions to initiate orders based on information that is received electronically, before human traders are capable of processing the information they observe.

Characteristics

• Very high speed of trading due to the use of high speed computers

• Use of algorithms to process data feeds and take decisions to buy and sell automatically

• Use of co-location services

Concerns

The International Organization of Securities Commissions (IOSCO), reported in July 2011 that AT also contributed to the flash crash of May 6th, 2010 in the US when the benchmark index, Dow Jones Industrial Average crashed and then quickly recovered.

In India too, in the last couple of years, there have been instances where the markets have lost a large amount of money in a very short span of time and then recovered quickly. Once such instance happened during the Muhurat Trading on Diwali day of 2011.

These events brought to light the highly correlated nature of trading strategies using AT. This means that the markets can quickly become one sided. AT also results in very high short term volatility which could be detrimental to retail, non algorithmic traders.

Pros

AT enhances the speed of information dissemination and its supporters claim that it helps in making the markets more efficient. Large and multiple trades can be processed and carried out quickly. Complicated strategies can be implemented through algorithms. 75% to 80% of total trades in US and UK can be attributed to AT.

These are also the very reasons why the Intermediaries and Investor Welfare Association has accused the regulators of being "silent spectators". AT gives unfair advantages to institutions or brokers who have of co-location facilities and high speed computer prowess which are not available to the common man or ordinary retail investors.

SEBI, exchanges and the Ministry clearly need to put some thought into the advantages of speed over fairness to all.

We object Mr. Chetan Bhagat

This article was originally published in rediff.com on August 22, 2012

http://www.rediff.com/getahead/slide-show/slide-show-1-specials-we-object-mr-chetan-bhagat/20120822.htm

Do the young Indians really just want a job and a girlfriend? Which India is Mr. Chetan Bhagat talking about?
Chetan Bhagat became an instant hit with the Indian youth with his first book, "Five Point Someone". The book took the youth through a journey of three engineering students at the prestigious Indian Institute of Technology, which every young Indian either related to or wanted to be able to relate to. It was easy to read and witty, but no literary masterpiece. His subsequent books, One night @ the call centre, The three mistakes of my life, and 2 States, too went on to become bestsellers but established Bhagat as a 'dud' in literary circles.

Bhagat's latest book, 'What young India wants' is a non-fiction, unlike his previous books, and an attempt by Bhagat to establish himself as a serious, thinking, author. The book title indicates that Bhagat is trying to capitalize on his popularity with the Indian youth. The book may go on to become a bestseller, but he has clearly chewed more than he can bite this time.
There are essays in the book which have nothing to do with the youth or the young India. They are plain criticisms of politicians, policies and processes. And we are all on board there. Even though some of the observations are a bit over the top. For example, comparison of cricket with opium or suggesting that Indians are 'suckers for power'!

However, he has got the pulse of the youth wrong in many place in the essays which are related to the title of the book, "what young India wants". And the biggest one in my opinion is that according to him Indians lack a good set of values and are a confused bunch of people.

Indians are definitely not confused and have solid set of values.

The young India I know wants to fulfill the aspirations of their parents. We want to bring home a boy or a girl whom our parents would approve of. We want to come home for Diwali, wherever in the world we might be. We want to take care of our parents in their old age and protect our children, always.

We believe in God. We know the right from the wrong. We know the difference between honesty and corruption. Sometimes we deviate from our values to survive. To survive the same processes and policies which Bhagat has so lucidly criticized in his book.

We are fighters who get to schools, colleges and offices, running behind buses, dangling through the door, because of inadequate frequencies and public transport. Would we ever reach the destination on time if we were to form a queue? Queue works when 10 or lower number of people board a bus with 10 empty seats. But if 20 people need to board a bus which is already full, it will not work. Have you seen Indians break queues in the developed countries?

The youth of the nation know that all service providers are bad. We stick to a service provider as long as we don't decide to change, on a bad morning, in frustration. But the change is not in anticipation of better service. Same goes for their votes. Bhagat suggests that change can be brought around if everyone decides to vote for honest politicians. Isn't that an oxymoron in India? There are no honest politicians to vote for. Whether it's one party or the other, they are all corrupt.

We look up to our corporate czars because they survived and found their way through this corrupt system. Even if they inherited, as against innovated, they stayed afloat. And the suggestion that Indian youth does not look up to innovators or entrepreneurs is a bizarre one. Narayana Murthy (Infosys), Kiran Mazumdar Shaw (Biocon), Sunil Bharti Mittal (Airtel), and many more, are all first generation entrepreneurs, and we look up to them!

In spite of the education system, Indians think (unlike what Bhagat suggests)! We think, therefore a significant percentage of the scientists, doctors and academicians in the US are Indians. The fact that they go to the US and invent or innovate, and not in India, is a reflection on India's processes and policies. Not on the quality of our brains.

And seriously, the comparison between opium and cricket, is inane by any stretch of imagination. Yes there was a controversy. The business part of it isn't transparent. There are glamorous people involved. But what does that have to do with the game? Indian's enjoy watching the game, the country has some world class players, they idolize some of them, how's that different from basketball in the US or Football in Brazil? And trust me Mr. Bhagat, no child in India thinks about or sees "cricket as yet another example of India's rich and powerful treating the country as their fiefdom".

Truly, there is only one thing wrong with India. Its politics and the politicians. That is the root cause of our socio-economic troubles. And all we want, as youth of the nation, is a country free from these corrupt politicians. There is no confusion about that!
Author: Chetan Bhagat
Title: What young India wants
Publisher: Rupa Publications India Pvt. Ltd.
Pages: 181

Plan Bond Purchases Well

This article was originally published in Postnoon on August 17th, 2012


http://postnoon.com/2012/08/17/plan-bond-purchases-well/66652

Srikanth was already waiting in the cafeteria when Prof. Nicky walked in for her morning cup of coffee.

Prof. Nicky: Good Morning Srikanth. What pulls you out of your bed at this time?

Srikanth: (Offended), well I am generally awake by this time. But today I am here to show you an sms and ask you about what it means.

Nicky: Alright, let me see the sms.

Srikanth: Here it is- "Shriram Transport Finance Corporation launches the first public issue of Non-Convertible Debentures (NCDs) this financial year from July 26th. The issue closes on August 10, 2012. The bonds offer an annual coupon rate of 10.25% and 10.50% for a period of 36 months and 60 months respectively".

Prof. I know that a bond is an instrument which allows one to invest in a company (corporate bond) or with the government (government bond), for a fixed period of time and with a fixed return. In the case of this sms, a corporate bond is being offered for a fixed period of either 3 years or 5 years and will give a return of 10.25 and 10.5 percent respectively. But I have a few more questions.

First, What is coupon rate? Is it same as return?

Nicky: Let me make a correction in your previous statement, related to your question. 10.25% and 10.5% are not returns. They are coupon rates. Coupon rate is the interest that the bond issuer pays on the face value of a bond.

Srikanth: Face Value?

Nicky: Face Value of the bond is the amount which is returned to the investors by the issuer when the Bond matures. The price or the market value of the bond may be different depending on the attractiveness and demand for the bond.

Let me explain. If the prevailing price of a similar bond, with same coupon rates, in the market is say Rs97. Nobody will be willing to pay more than Rs97 for another bond. Hence the company will have to sell their bond at a discount of 3% on the face value. On the other hand, if the other similar bonds in the market are being sold at Rs105, the company will not be willing to sell their bond at the face value of Rs100. So, they will sell their bond at a premium of 5% on the face value.

Now, if the bond is bought at the face value, and held till maturity, it will give us a return which is equal to the coupon rate. But, if it is bought at a price less than or more than the face value, we will incur a capital loss or gain on maturity. This results in our return from bonds being different from the coupon rate. In finance parlance, the return on a bond is known as yield.

Srikanth: But why will a bond price be Rs97 or Rs105?

Nicky: That's because, a bond need not be held till maturity. It can be traded in the market. Its transferrable. So a bond which is more in demand due to its higher coupon rate, its price increases. Whereas a bond which has a lower coupon rate, its price decreases.

Srikanth: Ah...Demand and Supply at work here too! Economics everywhere!

Nicky: Absolutely. No wonder it is known as the mother of all subjects!

Better Safe than Sorry

This article was originally published in Postnoon on August 11th, 2012

http://postnoon.com/2012/08/11/better-safe-than-sorry/65297

Prof. Nicky had not been to Laxmiamma's house since sometime and on her way to the campus, decided to stop by her house to relish her Irani chai and enquire about her well being. On her advice, Laxmiamma had opened a savings bank account and had also started saving through a recurring deposit. She was happy with this arrangement as it gave her peace of mind and assurance of safety for her money, as against the constant fear of theft when she kept it at home.

There was an agent at the bank who was advising her to invest her money in Systematic Investment Plans (SIP) rather than in a recurring deposit. So as soon as Prof. Nicky came in, after the pleasantries and having settled on the sofa with the chai, Laxmiamma asked him about SIPs.

Laxmiamma: This man at the bank says that SIPs give a much higher return when compared to the recurring deposit. What are SIPs? Is it true that they give more return? Why and how do they give more returns? Why did you ask me to put my money as deposits when SIPs give more return?

Prof. Nicky: Now, now...slow down amma! Let me answer your questions one by one.

What are SIPs

SIPs are instruments which allow you to invest in Mutual Funds on a periodic basis, as against a lump sum. SIPs are to mutual funds, what recurring deposits are to fixed deposits.

Performance of SIPs

When you put your money in a SIP, every month or every quarter, depending on your preference, the money is used to buy the units of mutual fund schemes. The units are bought at the price or the NAV of the fund on a specified date of that month/quarter. In this way, you get more units when the NAV is lower and lesser units when the NAV is higher. So it helps you average out the highs and the lows. This means that is helps reduce risk by spacing out your investments.

But, we cannot say that they will perform better than recurring deposits. Because the performance of the SIPs will depend on the performance of the fund in which you are putting your money. And the performance of the fund depends on where the fund put their money. If it is an equity fund, the performance of the fund will depend on the performance of the stocks in which the fund invested. So yes, they may give more returns than recurring deposits on some occasions and give lesser returns on the other.

Risk and risk taking ability

A person who can take the risk of either getting lesser returns or even losing a part of their principal, should invest in SIPs. They are less risky than investing directly in Mutual funds and even lesser risky that investing directly in the stock markets, yet, they are risky. On the other hand, recurring deposits are safe instruments, with practically no risk, unless the bank goes bankrupt.

Laxmiamma, you are too old to take risk. And you are not so rich that you can afford to lose your hard earned money. That's the reason I asked you to invest in recurring deposit rather than SIPs.

Laxmiamma: Ah...next time that agent bugs me, I can now tell him that I do not have the risk taking ability to buy SIPs. I wonder if he will understand it though (winks)! More chai?

The Village called the Globe

This article was originally published in Postnoon on August 4th, 2012

http://postnoon.com/2012/08/04/the-village-called-the-globe/63760

Pax Indica-India and the World of the 21st Century by Shashi Tharoor, hits the stores at a time when India is struggling with policy making at the domestic front. While our Prime Minister, Dr. Manmohan Singh is heard at International forums, he has been accused (and rightly so) of having lost his voice at home. In an environment which is mired with serious lapses in policy making at the home front, takers for a book on foreign policy may be few.

Having said that, there is no denying that if there is anyone suited to write a book on India’s role in shaping the world’s ‘dreams’, it has to be the former UN Under-Secretary general and the former external affairs minister of state, Shashi Tharoor.
The premise of the book is vasudhaiva kutumbakam and focuses on the relationship of India with the members of the world family, past, present and suggestions for the future. Continuing with his obsession with Pandit Jawahar Lal Nehru, the book starts with a reference to the “tryst with destiny” speech and goes on to establish the role that India has been playing on the ‘global stage’ since the Harappan civilization.

It goes on to give a detailed account of India’s diplomatic relations with Pakistan, China, US and UN, but just offers a glimpse of the relations with the other regional and neighbouring countries, which might go a long way in shaping the policies of an India of tomorrow.

The book lacks the wit and spontaneity of his early books like The Great Indian Novel or Show Business. But it gives a good insight into the foreign policy making process in the country. Heavily advocating the use of social media, Tharoor emphasises on the need for change in the ‘intellectual and institutional infrastructure for foreign policy making in India’.

Name: Pax Indica-India and the World of the 21st Century
Author: Shashi Tharoor
Pages: 449
Publisher: Penguin Books India

Use RTI Superhighway

This article was originally published in Postnoon on August 3rd, 2012 (Co-Author: Anuj Hetamsaria)


http://postnoon.com/2012/08/03/use-rti-superhighway/63511

The Right to Information Act (2005) became effective in October 2005 to empower every citizen to ask questions from the Government. This Act has given the Indian citizens the right to seek information and take copies of government documents on one hand and made the public officers accountable on the other.

The application may be submitted electronically or in a hard copy to the designated Public Information Officer (PIO). Every government department now has a PIO who is responsible to provide the information to any and every applicant.

The application should be accompanied with a payment of Rs10 towards processing charges for the Central Government Departments. The fees may vary from state to state for the departments at the state level. It can be paid in Cash, by a Demand Draft or by a Money Order. You must remember to take a receipt for the application fees paid.

Write or type the application in a clean, white sheet of paper. Frame the questions clearly with the intention for finding out reasons rather than accusing. For example, avoid using words like 'Why did you" and "How could you". Instead use words like "share the process followed" or "would like to know the manner in which...". There is no limit to the number of questions that can be asked. However, it is advisable to keep your list of questions short and queries precise.

The application must contain the name of the person asking for information, his/her signature and application fee details like DD or Cheque Numbers. The reason for seeking information need not be stated as any Indian citizen has the Right to Information.

The application may be rejected if the department is exempt from disclosure or if the disclosure infringes upon the privacy or copyright of a person other than the government.

The upper limit for providing the information is 30 days. However, it is only 48 hours in cases involving life or liberty of a person. It is 35 days if the application is given to the Assistant PIO and 40 days if the information concerns a third party from whom the department might need to get the information before responding to the RTI application. If the information is not provided within these time frames, it is deemed as a refusal to provide information.

One of the reasons for the success of RTI is that if the information is not provided within 30 days of application, it directly penalizes the concerned officer by deducting Rs 250 per day of delay up to a maximum of Rs 25,000 per application, from the salary. If wrong information is provided, a penalty up to Rs 25,000 can be imposed on the officer.

RTI is the right step to make the governance of the country more credible and transparent.

10 Steps to file I-T returns

This article was originally published in Postnoon on June 1st, 2012


http://postnoon.com/2012/07/27/10-steps-to-file-i-t-returns/61691

If you haven't yet filed your income tax returns, you can do it without much hassle at www.incometaxindiaefiling.gov.in. We will take you through the process of filing the income tax returns for a Salaried individual in this article. Once you are on this site, follow the following steps:

Step 1: Left hand corner, first tab says, Download. Click on AY2012-13 which will take you to a table describing the form that you need to use according to your income sources. For example, if you are a salaried person with only interest income apart from your salary, you can download the form ITR-1.

Step 2: Scroll down and download the relevant form on to your computer, that is ITR-1.

Step 3: The downloaded form is in excel format. Fill in the personal details. If you do not know the information about 'Income Tax Ward / Circle', it's okay to leave it blank. Or your Chartered Accountant from previous years may help you.

Step 4: Before going to the section on Income and Deductions, go to the next worksheet called 'TDS'. Fill in the details about the TDS on Salary and other income from Form 16 and Form 16A's. At this point, you must cross check the amounts that you have filled in with the Form 26AS. Form 26AS can also be obtained from the website mentioned above. You just need your PAN number to obtain it. Form 26AS is the statement of all taxes deposited to the Government under your PAN Number. If the amounts that you have filled in the form, exactly match with the Form 26AS, your tax return will sail through. But if they don't, sooner or later, the IT department will come back to you to explain the differences.

Step 5: Go back to the first worksheet and finish the section on Income and Deductions. For Salaried people, most of the items here can be filled in straight from the Form 16 that their employer would have given them. In case you did not give the details about your Life Insurance Policies or other deductible investments to your employer, you can include them here now.

Step 6: If you have made donations to approved institutions, fill in the fourth worksheet.

Step 7: Calculate your tax liability using the 'Calculate Tax' Tab on the right hand corner of the first sheet.

Step 8: Fill the third sheet according to the tax status. If you need to get a refund, you will need to give your bank account details. If you need to pay the tax, you can pay it using your online banking facility or by going to the bank. Obtain the BSR code and the challan details and fill it in Sheet 2.

Step 9: Using tabs on the right hand corner, validate all the four worksheets. If you want you may print the sheets for your records.

Step 10: Generate xml using the tab on the right hand corner of the first sheet, save it on to your computer and then upload it on the website under submit return/AY12-13.

You will get an ITR-V as acknowledgement of your returns filed. You will need to sign it and send it to Bangalore. The address is mentioned in the ITR-V itself.

There are instructions at every step. The income tax department has made it really easy for anyone to file their own returns. In fact, they have also started the facility of getting a Tax Return Preparer (TRP) to come to your house and guide you in the process or you can get help from them online or on the phone at 18001801961.